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	<title>Comments on: Confirmation Bias and Your Money</title>
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	<link>http://www.thesimpledollar.com/2009/05/11/3568/</link>
	<description>Simple, applicable personal finance advice for the modern world</description>
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		<title>By: Michael</title>
		<link>http://www.thesimpledollar.com/2009/05/11/3568/comment-page-1/#comment-663462</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 15 May 2009 16:35:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thesimpledollar.com/?p=3568#comment-663462</guid>
		<description>Todo, I do appreciate the reminder. :)  Pride and greed threaten any investor regardless of his skill and knowledge.  And as they say, you can always lose 100% of your investment.

Morningstar Index was a reference to the mutual fund indexes published by that company.  Most mutual fund companies are able to advertise their good standing in Morningstar&#039;s reports due to confirmation bias, since the losers have closed or folded into successful funds.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Todo, I do appreciate the reminder. :)  Pride and greed threaten any investor regardless of his skill and knowledge.  And as they say, you can always lose 100% of your investment.</p>
<p>Morningstar Index was a reference to the mutual fund indexes published by that company.  Most mutual fund companies are able to advertise their good standing in Morningstar&#8217;s reports due to confirmation bias, since the losers have closed or folded into successful funds.</p>
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		<title>By: Jerry</title>
		<link>http://www.thesimpledollar.com/2009/05/11/3568/comment-page-1/#comment-662346</link>
		<dc:creator>Jerry</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 14 May 2009 15:50:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thesimpledollar.com/?p=3568#comment-662346</guid>
		<description>I have read a lot of comments based upon feelings or assertions, but few very facts.  This topic fairly screams out for numerical confirmation.  Trent laid out the facts about index funds.  To me, the key points are: 
1. If your actively managed fund does not over-perform a low cost index fund over many years, then you are throwing away your money. The lowest cost index funds outperform 80% of all actively managed funds over 10 years, mainly due to the lower cost. The out-perfom percentage rises to 95% when comparing a set of 5 funds. Most people need to be diversified, so most should have those 5 funds, making 95% a more realistic number. See CNN/Money, Morningstar and www.fundalarm.com for a comparison of funds. Vanguard and T.Rowe Price consistently make the list of top 70 funds in Money&#039;s ratings. 

2. If you do not manage your money consistently _better_ than a professional over the long term, then you have no rational reason to do it yourself. If you are not doing the math to compare your results those of a professional, then you are wasting your own money and time. You have to include ALL expenses, trading costs, capital gains taxes, and fees. Anything else is cheating (yourself). 

3. In my humble opinion, if you&#039;re only making less than or even the same amount of money for yourself as an inexpensive index fund would give you, then (a) great! you have learned something useful, and (b) now you can turn that money over to Vanguard or T.RowePrice, and go out to do something else with your lifetime. Unless you are a fool who enjoys overpaying some moron to steal your money, you would do better 95% of the time with an index fund (see 1). Unless you are or want to become a financial professional, then managing your own money merely to save the 0.2% index fund fee (see 2) means that you are wasting time in your life better spent living. I am not advocating blindly turning your life savings over to some random guy in a suit. Do your homework _first_, invest wisely, then go live your life. 

4. This has nothing to do with your brains or your ego. This certainly does not have anything to do with &quot;enjoying&quot; stock trading. If you run the numbers and _honestly_ compare results, then go with what is best for you (and your family, if any). Better yet, have someone else (someone objective like an accountant) run your numbers. In 99.9999% of cases, if you are not a financial professional, then you are wasting your money. If you haven&#039;t run the numbers brutally honestly but still think you are the 0.0001% who beats the experts, then you are probably fooling yourself.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have read a lot of comments based upon feelings or assertions, but few very facts.  This topic fairly screams out for numerical confirmation.  Trent laid out the facts about index funds.  To me, the key points are:<br />
1. If your actively managed fund does not over-perform a low cost index fund over many years, then you are throwing away your money. The lowest cost index funds outperform 80% of all actively managed funds over 10 years, mainly due to the lower cost. The out-perfom percentage rises to 95% when comparing a set of 5 funds. Most people need to be diversified, so most should have those 5 funds, making 95% a more realistic number. See CNN/Money, Morningstar and <a href="http://www.fundalarm.com" rel="nofollow">http://www.fundalarm.com</a> for a comparison of funds. Vanguard and T.Rowe Price consistently make the list of top 70 funds in Money&#8217;s ratings. </p>
<p>2. If you do not manage your money consistently _better_ than a professional over the long term, then you have no rational reason to do it yourself. If you are not doing the math to compare your results those of a professional, then you are wasting your own money and time. You have to include ALL expenses, trading costs, capital gains taxes, and fees. Anything else is cheating (yourself). </p>
<p>3. In my humble opinion, if you&#8217;re only making less than or even the same amount of money for yourself as an inexpensive index fund would give you, then (a) great! you have learned something useful, and (b) now you can turn that money over to Vanguard or T.RowePrice, and go out to do something else with your lifetime. Unless you are a fool who enjoys overpaying some moron to steal your money, you would do better 95% of the time with an index fund (see 1). Unless you are or want to become a financial professional, then managing your own money merely to save the 0.2% index fund fee (see 2) means that you are wasting time in your life better spent living. I am not advocating blindly turning your life savings over to some random guy in a suit. Do your homework _first_, invest wisely, then go live your life. </p>
<p>4. This has nothing to do with your brains or your ego. This certainly does not have anything to do with &#8220;enjoying&#8221; stock trading. If you run the numbers and _honestly_ compare results, then go with what is best for you (and your family, if any). Better yet, have someone else (someone objective like an accountant) run your numbers. In 99.9999% of cases, if you are not a financial professional, then you are wasting your money. If you haven&#8217;t run the numbers brutally honestly but still think you are the 0.0001% who beats the experts, then you are probably fooling yourself.</p>
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		<title>By: Anthony</title>
		<link>http://www.thesimpledollar.com/2009/05/11/3568/comment-page-1/#comment-661297</link>
		<dc:creator>Anthony</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2009 17:47:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thesimpledollar.com/?p=3568#comment-661297</guid>
		<description>Great Post.  I see this all the time in the fitness industry.  Most people believe ONE modality is the absolute best and only follow the experts of that modality.  Mike Boyle, who is an extremely successful and intelligent strength coach said &quot;Don&#039;t believe everything you read, but don&#039;t just read what you believe&quot;  The ability to analyze information and make intelligent decisions based on that is our greatest tool.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Great Post.  I see this all the time in the fitness industry.  Most people believe ONE modality is the absolute best and only follow the experts of that modality.  Mike Boyle, who is an extremely successful and intelligent strength coach said &#8220;Don&#8217;t believe everything you read, but don&#8217;t just read what you believe&#8221;  The ability to analyze information and make intelligent decisions based on that is our greatest tool.</p>
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		<title>By: Georgia</title>
		<link>http://www.thesimpledollar.com/2009/05/11/3568/comment-page-1/#comment-661256</link>
		<dc:creator>Georgia</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2009 16:44:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thesimpledollar.com/?p=3568#comment-661256</guid>
		<description>I had a bias against foreign cars.  We always bought American.  I had a 79 Buick Electra Ltd. that zoned out at 363k miles, 250k of which I had put on in about 8-9 years. Later I had a 91 Chev Lumina that got 316k miles before it quit.  I now have a 2000 Ford Taurus SE station wagon with just less than 168k on it.  It is running great.

My husband bought a used 91 Toyota pickup.  He admitted that it had very little problems for the lack of care he had given it.  After about 5 years, he drove it mostly around home because, if he drove over 50-100 miles straight, he would have to put a quart of oil in it.  We had it about 9 years.  And it was used hard, with going through ditches, mud, and farm land, and with being overloaded a lot with stuff he used keeping the fairgrounds up.

Good arguments on both sides.  Just do your homework and take good care of what you get.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I had a bias against foreign cars.  We always bought American.  I had a 79 Buick Electra Ltd. that zoned out at 363k miles, 250k of which I had put on in about 8-9 years. Later I had a 91 Chev Lumina that got 316k miles before it quit.  I now have a 2000 Ford Taurus SE station wagon with just less than 168k on it.  It is running great.</p>
<p>My husband bought a used 91 Toyota pickup.  He admitted that it had very little problems for the lack of care he had given it.  After about 5 years, he drove it mostly around home because, if he drove over 50-100 miles straight, he would have to put a quart of oil in it.  We had it about 9 years.  And it was used hard, with going through ditches, mud, and farm land, and with being overloaded a lot with stuff he used keeping the fairgrounds up.</p>
<p>Good arguments on both sides.  Just do your homework and take good care of what you get.</p>
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		<title>By: Carrie</title>
		<link>http://www.thesimpledollar.com/2009/05/11/3568/comment-page-1/#comment-661223</link>
		<dc:creator>Carrie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2009 15:48:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thesimpledollar.com/?p=3568#comment-661223</guid>
		<description>Trent:

You would enjoy reading a book called &quot;How We Decide&quot;, by Jonah Lehrer. It&#039;s a fascinating look at how and why (from a brain-science perspective) we make the decisions we do; one of the chapters discusses this exact thing.

Your post about being a control freak, and how it didn&#039;t help you save money, was incredibly helpful to me - I have the same issue. Your example of the grocery store, in particular, was enlightening.

Thanks for all you do,


Carrie.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Trent:</p>
<p>You would enjoy reading a book called &#8220;How We Decide&#8221;, by Jonah Lehrer. It&#8217;s a fascinating look at how and why (from a brain-science perspective) we make the decisions we do; one of the chapters discusses this exact thing.</p>
<p>Your post about being a control freak, and how it didn&#8217;t help you save money, was incredibly helpful to me &#8211; I have the same issue. Your example of the grocery store, in particular, was enlightening.</p>
<p>Thanks for all you do,</p>
<p>Carrie.</p>
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		<title>By: todo es bien</title>
		<link>http://www.thesimpledollar.com/2009/05/11/3568/comment-page-1/#comment-660945</link>
		<dc:creator>todo es bien</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2009 03:54:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thesimpledollar.com/?p=3568#comment-660945</guid>
		<description>Thanks for your thoughtful reply Michael. A careful read of my previous comment will reveal that I make no mention of Morningstar or indexes at all, so that is puzzling. Be that as it may, I in essence agree with your suggestion. I believe that there is some correlation between skill,discipline, and results when it comes to investing outcomes. What I was trying to say was that in many cases there is more than meets the eye, and understanding various kinds of biases can be illuminating and possibly interesting. At any rate, sounds like you are doing well and are happy and successful, so probably my notion would be of no use to you. Best regards, t.e.b.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks for your thoughtful reply Michael. A careful read of my previous comment will reveal that I make no mention of Morningstar or indexes at all, so that is puzzling. Be that as it may, I in essence agree with your suggestion. I believe that there is some correlation between skill,discipline, and results when it comes to investing outcomes. What I was trying to say was that in many cases there is more than meets the eye, and understanding various kinds of biases can be illuminating and possibly interesting. At any rate, sounds like you are doing well and are happy and successful, so probably my notion would be of no use to you. Best regards, t.e.b.</p>
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		<title>By: Katy</title>
		<link>http://www.thesimpledollar.com/2009/05/11/3568/comment-page-1/#comment-660584</link>
		<dc:creator>Katy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 May 2009 22:43:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thesimpledollar.com/?p=3568#comment-660584</guid>
		<description>&quot;It’s simple - my confirmation bias kicks in and I view my own performance as an outlier - a fluke.&quot;

This quote strikes me as somewhat rediculous. When you are investing, don&#039;t you want to be an outlier? I know we&#039;re not going for the huge bucks here (as they come with huge risks) but if you have the knowledge to choose consistent stock performers, then you ARE an outlier. Its a skill you have that most people haven&#039;t cultivated. Being an outlier is not always a fluke, and its not always bad. Sometimes its the goal.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;It’s simple &#8211; my confirmation bias kicks in and I view my own performance as an outlier &#8211; a fluke.&#8221;</p>
<p>This quote strikes me as somewhat rediculous. When you are investing, don&#8217;t you want to be an outlier? I know we&#8217;re not going for the huge bucks here (as they come with huge risks) but if you have the knowledge to choose consistent stock performers, then you ARE an outlier. Its a skill you have that most people haven&#8217;t cultivated. Being an outlier is not always a fluke, and its not always bad. Sometimes its the goal.</p>
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		<title>By: Michael</title>
		<link>http://www.thesimpledollar.com/2009/05/11/3568/comment-page-1/#comment-660455</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 May 2009 19:53:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thesimpledollar.com/?p=3568#comment-660455</guid>
		<description>Todo es bien: Successful investors and failed investors, as groups, have different characteristics.  One of the differences between these two groups is what they read and how they think.

Let me say that again: &lt;i&gt;good investors think and act differently than bad ones whether any of them are still around or not.&lt;/i&gt;

Todo, I have analyzed stocks professionally in the past, trade my own account today and have a good track record for someone without inside information.  I wouldn&#039;t trust my career or my money to copying the behavior of some Morningstar index as you suggest.  Respectfully I suggest &lt;i&gt;you&lt;/i&gt; research what kinds of money managers are correlated with good performance, and whether any of them might also cause that performance.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Todo es bien: Successful investors and failed investors, as groups, have different characteristics.  One of the differences between these two groups is what they read and how they think.</p>
<p>Let me say that again: <i>good investors think and act differently than bad ones whether any of them are still around or not.</i></p>
<p>Todo, I have analyzed stocks professionally in the past, trade my own account today and have a good track record for someone without inside information.  I wouldn&#8217;t trust my career or my money to copying the behavior of some Morningstar index as you suggest.  Respectfully I suggest <i>you</i> research what kinds of money managers are correlated with good performance, and whether any of them might also cause that performance.</p>
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		<title>By: sknelson</title>
		<link>http://www.thesimpledollar.com/2009/05/11/3568/comment-page-1/#comment-660405</link>
		<dc:creator>sknelson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 May 2009 18:03:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thesimpledollar.com/?p=3568#comment-660405</guid>
		<description>I totally appreciate this line of thought!  I never considered this in regards to finances, as it applies to so many other areas of life as well.  Obviously, taken too far, you end up so open-minded that your brain falls out.  But pushing yourself to confront a challenge to your thought is so healthy.  And I think most of us would do well to apply this.  Thanks Trent!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I totally appreciate this line of thought!  I never considered this in regards to finances, as it applies to so many other areas of life as well.  Obviously, taken too far, you end up so open-minded that your brain falls out.  But pushing yourself to confront a challenge to your thought is so healthy.  And I think most of us would do well to apply this.  Thanks Trent!</p>
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		<title>By: todo es bien</title>
		<link>http://www.thesimpledollar.com/2009/05/11/3568/comment-page-1/#comment-660375</link>
		<dc:creator>todo es bien</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 May 2009 17:06:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thesimpledollar.com/?p=3568#comment-660375</guid>
		<description>Hi Michael, #16, you may wish to investigate a related issue, &quot;Survivor Bias&quot;. If you come to really grasp it, this will help you understand why  those who have succeeded should be scrutinized just as much (or more)  as those who have failed. Best regards.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hi Michael, #16, you may wish to investigate a related issue, &#8220;Survivor Bias&#8221;. If you come to really grasp it, this will help you understand why  those who have succeeded should be scrutinized just as much (or more)  as those who have failed. Best regards.</p>
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		<title>By: Erik</title>
		<link>http://www.thesimpledollar.com/2009/05/11/3568/comment-page-1/#comment-660280</link>
		<dc:creator>Erik</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 May 2009 15:41:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thesimpledollar.com/?p=3568#comment-660280</guid>
		<description>Great article; I think it would behoove the readers to share the points and examples shared by the &#039;opposing&#039; reader as well!  I&#039;m interested to see those arguments, the facts, and people that support such claims.  Total knowledge is crucial!

Great community you&#039;ve built-</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Great article; I think it would behoove the readers to share the points and examples shared by the &#8216;opposing&#8217; reader as well!  I&#8217;m interested to see those arguments, the facts, and people that support such claims.  Total knowledge is crucial!</p>
<p>Great community you&#8217;ve built-</p>
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		<title>By: Rob Bennett</title>
		<link>http://www.thesimpledollar.com/2009/05/11/3568/comment-page-1/#comment-660241</link>
		<dc:creator>Rob Bennett</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 May 2009 15:18:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thesimpledollar.com/?p=3568#comment-660241</guid>
		<description>Wonderful post.

Humans are not often persuaded by logic. We are more frequently persuaded by repetition. The people who make television commercials all know this, of course. But the people who give money advice seem to miss this point.

Why do we believe in buy and hold? And that timing doesn&#039;t work? And that stocks are always best for the long run? Because we have just lived through the most out-of-control bull market in history and those were the marketing slogans that were being repeated over and over and over again.

Once that particular set of marketing slogans bankrupts us yet again (it always has in the past), we will become persuaded by a new set of marketing slogans.

Rationality is rooted in logic. But most money advice is rooted in marketing.

Rob</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Wonderful post.</p>
<p>Humans are not often persuaded by logic. We are more frequently persuaded by repetition. The people who make television commercials all know this, of course. But the people who give money advice seem to miss this point.</p>
<p>Why do we believe in buy and hold? And that timing doesn&#8217;t work? And that stocks are always best for the long run? Because we have just lived through the most out-of-control bull market in history and those were the marketing slogans that were being repeated over and over and over again.</p>
<p>Once that particular set of marketing slogans bankrupts us yet again (it always has in the past), we will become persuaded by a new set of marketing slogans.</p>
<p>Rationality is rooted in logic. But most money advice is rooted in marketing.</p>
<p>Rob</p>
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		<title>By: psychsarah</title>
		<link>http://www.thesimpledollar.com/2009/05/11/3568/comment-page-1/#comment-660203</link>
		<dc:creator>psychsarah</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 May 2009 14:35:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thesimpledollar.com/?p=3568#comment-660203</guid>
		<description>Thanks for this post Trent! I learned tons about confirmation bias in my research training, as scientists are supposed to find counter arguments to their hypothesis and disprove them, not simply 
&quot;prove&quot; their own hypothesis with confirming evidence. It drives my husband batty that I&#039;m always critical/cynical about claims of all kinds, and I try to find other explanations and evidence to disprove whatever was said. Now you&#039;ve blessed this approach and I&#039;m grateful :)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks for this post Trent! I learned tons about confirmation bias in my research training, as scientists are supposed to find counter arguments to their hypothesis and disprove them, not simply<br />
&#8220;prove&#8221; their own hypothesis with confirming evidence. It drives my husband batty that I&#8217;m always critical/cynical about claims of all kinds, and I try to find other explanations and evidence to disprove whatever was said. Now you&#8217;ve blessed this approach and I&#8217;m grateful :)</p>
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		<title>By: theCase</title>
		<link>http://www.thesimpledollar.com/2009/05/11/3568/comment-page-1/#comment-660198</link>
		<dc:creator>theCase</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 May 2009 14:31:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thesimpledollar.com/?p=3568#comment-660198</guid>
		<description>I agree with your opinion on people&#039;s biases.

A good example is looking at the reviews on Amazon with anything of substantial value like a TV, you&#039;ll see reviews like &quot;This is the best TV EVER!&quot;.  The reality its that 1) this person did not test every TV out there so they have no way of knowing, 2) if they don&#039;t like it they probably will not post &quot;I made a mistake&quot; to the world.

We all perceive ourselves as being a good judge of value and making correct decisions in our life, Isn&#039;t rationalization wonderful?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I agree with your opinion on people&#8217;s biases.</p>
<p>A good example is looking at the reviews on Amazon with anything of substantial value like a TV, you&#8217;ll see reviews like &#8220;This is the best TV EVER!&#8221;.  The reality its that 1) this person did not test every TV out there so they have no way of knowing, 2) if they don&#8217;t like it they probably will not post &#8220;I made a mistake&#8221; to the world.</p>
<p>We all perceive ourselves as being a good judge of value and making correct decisions in our life, Isn&#8217;t rationalization wonderful?</p>
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		<title>By: GayleRN</title>
		<link>http://www.thesimpledollar.com/2009/05/11/3568/comment-page-1/#comment-660143</link>
		<dc:creator>GayleRN</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 May 2009 13:00:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thesimpledollar.com/?p=3568#comment-660143</guid>
		<description>When someone asks me how to acquire knowledge about investing I advise them to read everything (and I do mean everything) they can get hold of.  The reasons I say this is twofold.  First most people are unwilling to put in that kind of work and they just naturally go away.  Second, you start to see and detect BS, illogic, and what are simply a variety of approaches.  Meanwhile, until you get to the point of being willing and able to pick individual stocks (if that ever happens)index funds make perfect sense.  That way you are at least invested and not spinning your wheels.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When someone asks me how to acquire knowledge about investing I advise them to read everything (and I do mean everything) they can get hold of.  The reasons I say this is twofold.  First most people are unwilling to put in that kind of work and they just naturally go away.  Second, you start to see and detect BS, illogic, and what are simply a variety of approaches.  Meanwhile, until you get to the point of being willing and able to pick individual stocks (if that ever happens)index funds make perfect sense.  That way you are at least invested and not spinning your wheels.</p>
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		<title>By: Michael</title>
		<link>http://www.thesimpledollar.com/2009/05/11/3568/comment-page-1/#comment-660137</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 May 2009 12:43:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thesimpledollar.com/?p=3568#comment-660137</guid>
		<description>Johanna, I do read books by unsuccessful investors.  Like Cramer. :)

Seriously, there is advice out there that will wipe out 100% of investors, advice that will wipe out 80%, 60%, and so on.  There&#039;s no advice that makes money for everybody because nothing is right all of the time and not everyone is able to follow the advice.

Katie, Cramer made his wealth from books, TV and TheStreet.com.  As a professional investor he made  much more money from wrap fees than performance fees.  He didn&#039;t get rich from &quot;buy and homework.&quot;  Also, I don&#039;t know why you and Trent think conservative advice equals good advice.  I have read a lot of bad conservative investing advice.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Johanna, I do read books by unsuccessful investors.  Like Cramer. :)</p>
<p>Seriously, there is advice out there that will wipe out 100% of investors, advice that will wipe out 80%, 60%, and so on.  There&#8217;s no advice that makes money for everybody because nothing is right all of the time and not everyone is able to follow the advice.</p>
<p>Katie, Cramer made his wealth from books, TV and TheStreet.com.  As a professional investor he made  much more money from wrap fees than performance fees.  He didn&#8217;t get rich from &#8220;buy and homework.&#8221;  Also, I don&#8217;t know why you and Trent think conservative advice equals good advice.  I have read a lot of bad conservative investing advice.</p>
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		<title>By: Matt</title>
		<link>http://www.thesimpledollar.com/2009/05/11/3568/comment-page-1/#comment-660125</link>
		<dc:creator>Matt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 May 2009 12:12:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thesimpledollar.com/?p=3568#comment-660125</guid>
		<description>I&#039;m surprised no one has put &quot;confirmation bias&quot; as the leading cause as to why our nation is so messed up politically.  Liberals and Conservatives alike can&#039;t accept anything other than their own ideology, regardless of if it&#039;s right or not.  I consider that pure ignorance.  This goes far beyond the &quot;I like strawberry over vanilla&quot; debate, because that&#039;s an individual preference that only affects you.  When we bring in a philosophy or government that ends up affecting everyone, that full-fledged ignorance ends up leading to apathy, hatred, or completely illogical thinking.

May God have mercy on our nation for what it&#039;s doing and going through.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m surprised no one has put &#8220;confirmation bias&#8221; as the leading cause as to why our nation is so messed up politically.  Liberals and Conservatives alike can&#8217;t accept anything other than their own ideology, regardless of if it&#8217;s right or not.  I consider that pure ignorance.  This goes far beyond the &#8220;I like strawberry over vanilla&#8221; debate, because that&#8217;s an individual preference that only affects you.  When we bring in a philosophy or government that ends up affecting everyone, that full-fledged ignorance ends up leading to apathy, hatred, or completely illogical thinking.</p>
<p>May God have mercy on our nation for what it&#8217;s doing and going through.</p>
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		<title>By: Randy</title>
		<link>http://www.thesimpledollar.com/2009/05/11/3568/comment-page-1/#comment-660081</link>
		<dc:creator>Randy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 May 2009 10:58:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thesimpledollar.com/?p=3568#comment-660081</guid>
		<description>So Trent, now that you&#039;ve admitted to having a confirmation bias toward indexing, do you still dismiss an investing strategy that employs more selective determinations of what and when to buy or sell?

I&#039;ve read Cramer, Malkiel, and others on both sides of the aisle. I&#039;m also a stockbroker at an online brokerage firm. I&#039;ve seen plenty of folks prudently navigate their way to above-market returns picking individual stocks and incorporating options, bonds, and ETFs in an effective way. These folks had the time, inclination, and knowledge of the marketplace needed to make this strategy successful.

The point being, indexing is not right for everyone. I&#039;ll agree that loaded mutual funds are a rip, and anyone would be better off indexing than paying a fund manager. And for the average investor, indexing is the way to go when the time is just not there to adequately employ a more selective strategy.

But for those that have the resources and the savvy, indexing should not be a roadblock to better returns, especially in a volatile bear market where index funds got destroyed.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So Trent, now that you&#8217;ve admitted to having a confirmation bias toward indexing, do you still dismiss an investing strategy that employs more selective determinations of what and when to buy or sell?</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve read Cramer, Malkiel, and others on both sides of the aisle. I&#8217;m also a stockbroker at an online brokerage firm. I&#8217;ve seen plenty of folks prudently navigate their way to above-market returns picking individual stocks and incorporating options, bonds, and ETFs in an effective way. These folks had the time, inclination, and knowledge of the marketplace needed to make this strategy successful.</p>
<p>The point being, indexing is not right for everyone. I&#8217;ll agree that loaded mutual funds are a rip, and anyone would be better off indexing than paying a fund manager. And for the average investor, indexing is the way to go when the time is just not there to adequately employ a more selective strategy.</p>
<p>But for those that have the resources and the savvy, indexing should not be a roadblock to better returns, especially in a volatile bear market where index funds got destroyed.</p>
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		<title>By: Kate</title>
		<link>http://www.thesimpledollar.com/2009/05/11/3568/comment-page-1/#comment-659943</link>
		<dc:creator>Kate</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 May 2009 05:48:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thesimpledollar.com/?p=3568#comment-659943</guid>
		<description>Great article. I think it&#039;s wise to read other viewpoints and ideas. I&#039;ve been picking stocks for years - lately rather unsuccessfully, so I just bought my first index fund last week. Thanks for sharing your ideas.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Great article. I think it&#8217;s wise to read other viewpoints and ideas. I&#8217;ve been picking stocks for years &#8211; lately rather unsuccessfully, so I just bought my first index fund last week. Thanks for sharing your ideas.</p>
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		<title>By: Katie</title>
		<link>http://www.thesimpledollar.com/2009/05/11/3568/comment-page-1/#comment-659907</link>
		<dc:creator>Katie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 May 2009 04:34:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thesimpledollar.com/?p=3568#comment-659907</guid>
		<description>Michael - Have you actually read Cramer&#039;s earlier books? They are quite conservative, and he notes when he did something crazy and tells individual investors that they shouldn&#039;t do things like that. His writings on his website are also much calmer than his show. His book is used as a primer because it&#039;s a really straight-forward introduction to investing and stock-picking. It gets right to the point and it&#039;s not full of antics. 

Finally, the guy is pretty darn wealthy, so he must have done something right, even if it was incredibly risky. You don&#039;t have to like him to realize that and to acknowledge that his earlier books are good introductory material to the world of finance.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Michael &#8211; Have you actually read Cramer&#8217;s earlier books? They are quite conservative, and he notes when he did something crazy and tells individual investors that they shouldn&#8217;t do things like that. His writings on his website are also much calmer than his show. His book is used as a primer because it&#8217;s a really straight-forward introduction to investing and stock-picking. It gets right to the point and it&#8217;s not full of antics. </p>
<p>Finally, the guy is pretty darn wealthy, so he must have done something right, even if it was incredibly risky. You don&#8217;t have to like him to realize that and to acknowledge that his earlier books are good introductory material to the world of finance.</p>
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